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Wall Street edged higher on Thursday in thin trading ahead of Easter break, while investors awaited data to gauge the Federal Reserve’s policy path on the last business day of a strong first quarter.

The three main U.S. indexes were set for robust quarterly gains, as an AI-fueled rally and optimism around the Fed’s rate cuts helped lift Wall Street to record highs this month.

The blue-chip Dow rose marginally in early trading and remained on track to cross the 40,000 level for the first time.

“The stock market performed extremely well during the first quarter of 2024, and as long as earnings remain strong, the market can continue to move higher,” said Jeremy Straub, CEO and chief investment officer at Coastal Wealth.

“First-quarter earnings season is likely to be the next driver of market sentiment, which right now remains very optimistic.”

Data on Thursday showed the U.S. economy grew faster than previously estimated in the fourth quarter, while a separate report showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 210,000 for the week ended March 23.

Dow outperforms Wall Street in thin trading week

Heading into the long weekend, focus will also be on the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, which is due on Good Friday, when the U.S. stock market will be shut.

Overnight, Fed Governor Christopher Waller said recent disappointing inflation data affirms the case for the central bank to hold off on cutting its short-term interest rate target, but did not rule out trimming rates later in the year.

Traders see a 64% chance the Fed will begin its easing cycle in June, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

At 10:03 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 25.28 points, or 0.06%, at 39,785.36, the S&P 500 was up 6.02 points, or 0.11%, at 5,254.51, and the Nasdaq Composite was up 10.75 points, or 0.07%, at 16,410.27.

Most megacap growth stocks slipped, weighing on the tech-heavy Nasdaq.

Chipmaker Nvidia struggled for direction after falling more than 2% in each of the last two sessions. The AI winner is still set for more than 80% gains this quarter.

The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index inched up and was on track to end its second straight quarter of double-digit gains, up over 17% so far.

Two of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors declined, with communication services slipping. The rate-sensitive sector has been the best performer so far this quarter, along with technology stocks

Cryptocurrency and blockchain-related companies advanced as bitcoin recovered after a two-day slide. Exchange operator Coinbase Global, software company MicroStrategy and crypto miner Riot Platforms rose nearly 2% each.

Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 2.62-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 1.73-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.

The S&P index recorded 72 new 52-week highs and no new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 82 new highs and 20 new lows.

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